Indeks di Wall Street ditutup menguat pada Kamis (10/7). Penguatan dipimpin oleh kenaikan pada saham sektor chip yang mengindikasikan masih tingginya permintaan chip didorong oleh AI, meskipun dibayangi oleh ketidakpastian akan tarif. Data initial claims AS pekan lalu turun menjadi 227 ribu dari 232 ribu di pekan sebelumnya (10/7). Harga tembaga menguat mendekati level tertinggi sepanjang masa pada hari Kamis (10/7). Investor menantikan kesepakatan dagang antara AS dan Uni Eropa. U.S. 10-year Bond Yield cenderung stabil di level  4.346%. Harga emas naik 0.1% ke  level US$3,317/troy oz. Diperkirakan IHSG berpotensi melanjutkan penguatan pada level 7050-7080, jika bertahan di atas level 7000. Top picks (11/7): BBRI, BBNI, BMRI, BRIS dan ADRO. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Ratna Lim

Indeks di Wall Street ditutup menguat (9/7). Pasar mencermati perkembangan tarif Trump,  mencerna FOMC Minutes, serta faktor positif dari penguatan saham sektor teknologi. Risalah rapat The Fed pada 17-18 Juni menunjukkan The Fed tetap yakin akan memangkas suku bunga tahun ini (9/7). Presiden Trump mengirimkan surat yang menetapkan tarif baru AS terhadap Filipina, Brunei, Moldova, Aljazair, Irak, Libya, dan Sri Lanka (9/7). Euforia IPO dan berita aksi korporasi individual saham menjadi faktor positif di BEI. U.S. 10-year Bond Yield turun 8 bps ke 4.342%. Harga emas turun 0.1% ke  level US$3,297/troy oz, didorong oleh penguatan dollar AS. Secara teknikal IHSG berpotensi melanjutkan penguatan ke level 6970-7000. Top picks (10/7): SCMA, EMTK, MBMA, ACES dan MDKA. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Ratna Lim - Disclaimer On -

Indeks di Wall Street ditutup mixed (8/7). Pasar mencermati kejelasan perkembangan tarif Trump. Trump akan mengenakan tarif sebesar 50% pada impor tembaga. Trump juga berencana akan memberlakukan tarif tinggi seperti 200%  pada impor farmasi. Data retail sales domestik bulan Mei 2025  diperkirakan naik 0.3% YoY dari turun 0.3% YoY di April 2025 (9/7). U.S. 10-year Bond Yield naik 1 bps ke 4.407%. Harga emas turun 0.8% ke  level US$3,307/troy oz, didorong oleh penguatan dollar AS dan yield US-Treasury. >Secara teknikal diperkirakan IHSG berpotensi melanjutkan rebound jika bertahan di atas 6900 didukung volume. Top picks (9/7): BUMI, TAPG, INTP, JPFA dan ISAT. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Ratna Lim

14 July 2025

11 July 2025

10 July 2025

Indeks di bursa Wall Street melemah pada pekan lalu. Investor cemas dengan meningkatnya kembali eskalasi perang dagang. Trump akan memberlakukan tarif impor 35% terhadap Kanada mulai 1 Agustus 2025. Uni Eropa dan Meksiko masing-masing akan dikenakan tarif 30% mulai 1 Agustus 2025. Pekan ini investor akan menantikan perkembangan tarif impor selanjutnya. Investor akan mencermati data inflasi dari AS dan Inggris, industrial production dari Euro Area dan pertumbuhan ekonomi Tiongkok yang dirilis pekan ini. Investor juga menantikan earning season 2Q 2025 di Wall Street pekan ini. Investor menantikan hasil RDG Bank Indonesia (16/7) yang diperkirakan berpotensi menurunkan BI Rate sebesar 0.25% menjadi 5.25%. Diperkirakan IHSG berpotensi melanjutkan penguatan di 7100-7150 jika breakout MA200 di 7085. Top picks pekan ini:  ASSA, ARTO, INKP, PTBA, BBYB dan ELSA. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Ratna Lim - Disclaimer On -

Indeks di bursa Wall Street menguat pada pekan lalu. Trump menandatangani RUU pajak dan belanja negara AS menjadi UU (4/7). Pasar menantikan apa yang terjadi setelah batas waktu tarif 9 Juli 2025. Trump mulai mengirimkan surat kepada 12 negara mitra dagangnya mengenai besaran tarif yang akan mereka hadapi. Investor akan menantikan FOMC minutes dan dimulainya earning season 2Q 2025 di Wall Street. OPEC+ akan menaikkan produksi 548 ribu bpd mulai Agustus 2025. Indonesia akan menandatangani MoU dengan AS pada 7 Juli 2025, dengan menawarkan komitmen pembelian produk AS senilai US$34 miliar. Dari domestik, investor akan menantikan sejumlah data ekonomi dan pencatatan saham-saham IPO di bursa. IHSG diperkirakan konsolidasi pada kisaran 6800-7000 pada pekan ini. Top picks pekan ini: MBMA, SMDR, DATA, LSIP dan WIFI. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Ratna Lim - Disclaimer On -

Indeks di bursa Wall Street menguat pada pekan lalu. Batas waktu jeda tarif resiprokal (9/7) semakin dekat. Menteri Perdagangan AS menyatakan kerangka kerja AS-Tiongkok telah selesai. AS berharap  mencapai kesepakatan dagang dengan 10 mitra dagang utama. AS akan menghentikan negosiasi dagang dengan Kanada, karena Kanada memberlakukan pajak layanan digital kepada perusahaan teknologi AS. Fokus pasar pada pekan ini seputar negosiasi dagang, data ekonomi dan forum ECB  mengenai prospek ekonomi dan moneter. Pada pekan ini dari AS akan dirilis indeks PMI dan data tenaga kerja. Dari domestik akan menantikan data inflasi, neraca perdagangan dan cadangan devisa. IHSG diperkirakan mengalami konsolidasi di kisaran 6700-7000 pada pekan ini. Top picks pekan ini  : ASII, BMRI, TLKM, UNVR, MYOR dan MTEL. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Ratna Lim - Disclaimer On -

Gubernur The Fed Bank of San Francisco, Mary Daly, memperkirakan akan terjadi dua kali pemangkasan suku bunga pada 2025 dengan dampak tarif terhadap harga yang lebih terbatas dari perkiraan awal. Daly menyebut perusahaan berusaha membagi biaya tarif agar tidak membebani konsumen secara signifikan, sehingga inflasi diperkirakan menuju target 2%. Sementara itu, pejabat The Fed lainnya masih menilai dampak tarif terhadap inflasi bisa bersifat sementara atau lebih persisten, dengan keputusan kebijakan suku bunga berikutnya dijadwalkan pada Juli 2025. Ekonomi Inggris mengalami perbaikan meskipun masih kontraksi sebesar 0.1% MoM pada Mei 2025, setelah kontraksi 0.3% MoM di April. Penurunan terutama terjadi pada sektor produksi yang menyusut 0.9%, dipimpin oleh industri farmasi dasar (-4.2%) dan peralatan transportasi (-1.3%), sementara sektor jasa tumbuh tipis 0.1% berkat kenaikan subsektor informasi dan komunikasi sebesar 2%. Namun, dalam tiga bulan hingga Mei, PDB Inggris masih tumbuh 0.5%.  

FOMC Minutes menunjukkan sebagian besar anggota The Fed menilai penurunan suku bunga kebijakan tahun ini akan tepat, meskipun beberapa tetap berhati-hati karena risiko inflasi. Komite Pasar Terbuka Federal memutuskan mempertahankan suku bunga acuan di kisaran 4.25% hingga 4.5% sejak Desember, dengan beberapa pejabat siap mempertimbangkan penurunan suku bunga jika data ekonomi berubah sesuai perkiraan Tingkat inflasi tahunan di Jerman turun menjadi 2.0% YoY di Juni 2025, terendah dalam delapan bulan, dari 2.1% YoY pada Mei 2025, sejalan dengan estimasi awal. Penurunan harga energi sebesar 3.5%, terutama bahan bakar motor yang turun 4.6%, serta perlambatan inflasi harga makanan menjadi 2.0%, menjadi faktor utama penurunan tersebut  

Presiden Donald Trump memperingatkan akan mengenakan tarif impor hingga 200% pada perusahaan farmasi, semikonduktor, dan logam yang tidak memindahkan produksinya ke Amerika Serikat dalam waktu 1.5 tahun. Langkah ini bertujuan menekan perusahaan agar meningkatkan kapasitas manufaktur dalam negeri, sekaligus mengguncang pasar keuangan dan menurunkan saham perusahaan farmasi besar. Penjualan ritel di Indonesia tumbuh 1.9% YoY di Mei 2025, pulih dari kontraksi 0.3% YoY di April yang merupakan penurunan tahunan pertama sejak April 2024. Kenaikan ini didorong oleh peningkatan penjualan makanan, minuman, dan tembakau sebesar 4.0%, serta barang budaya dan rekreasi sebesar 4.7%. Namun, secara bulanan penjualan ritel turun 1.3% MoM pada Mei, membaik dari penurunan 5.1% MoM pada April, terutama karena peningkatan pengeluaran selama beberapa hari libur di bulan tersebut.  

14 July 2025

7 July 2025

30 June 2025

Code : MERI Sector : Consumer Cyclicals Sub-Sector : Education Services --------------------------------------------- PERKIRAAN JADWAL PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Perkiraan Tanggal Efektif : 30 Juni 2025 Perkiraan Masa Penawaran Umum : 2 Juli 2025 - 7 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Penjatahan : 7 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Distribusi Saham : 8 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Pencatatan Saham di BEI : 9 Juli 2025 --------------------------------------------- STRUKTUR PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Sebanyak – banyaknya 266.660.000 (dua ratus enam puluh enam juta enam ratus enam puluh ribu) Saham Biasa Atas Nama yang seluruhnya adalah saham baru dan dikeluarkan dari portepel Perseroan atau sebanyak – banyaknya 25% (dua puluh lima persen) dari total modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh setelah Penawaran Umum. Nilai Nominal : Rp12.5 per lembar saham Harga Penawaran : Rp110 - Rp150 per lembar saham Jumlah Penawaran Umum : Sebanyak-banyaknya Rp39.999.000.000 Penjamin Emisi : PT Lotus Andalan Sekuritas --------------------------------------------- Laporan dalam format PDF dapat diunduh pada menu "Research - IPO Summary" di www.phintracosekuritas.com dan telegram @phintasofficial By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On - Contact Us : WA : 08119560188 IG : phintracosekuritasofficial YT : Phintraco Sekuritas Official TELE : phintasofficial www.phintracosekuritas.com www.profits.co.id

Code : PMUI Sector : Consumer Cyclicals Sub-Sector : Consumer Distributors --------------------------------------------- PERKIRAAN JADWAL PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Perkiraan Tanggal Efektif : 30 Juni 2025 Perkiraan Masa Penawaran Umum : 2 Juli 2025 - 4 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Penjatahan : 4 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Distribusi Saham : 7 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Pencatatan Saham di BEI : 8 Juli 2025 --------------------------------------------- STRUKTUR PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Sebanyak-banyaknya 1.160.000.000 (satu miliar seratus enam puluh juta) Saham Biasa Atas Nama atau mewakili sebanyak-banyaknya 20% (dua puluh persen) dari modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh Perseroan setelah Penawaran Umum Perdana Saham. Nilai Nominal : Rp50 per lembar saham Harga Penawaran : Rp160 - Rp180 per lembar saham Jumlah Penawaran Umum : Sebanyak-banyaknya Rp208.800.000.000 Penjamin Emisi : PT Korea Investment and Sekuritas Indonesia --------------------------------------------- Laporan dalam format PDF dapat diunduh pada menu "Research - IPO Summary" di www.phintracosekuritas.com dan telegram @phintasofficial By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On - Contact Us : WA : 08119560188 IG : phintracosekuritasofficial YT : Phintraco Sekuritas Official TELE : phintasofficial www.phintracosekuritas.com www.profits.co.id

Code : CHEK Sector : Healthcare Sub-Sector : Healthcare Equipment --------------------------------------------- PERKIRAAN JADWAL PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Perkiraan Tanggal Efektif : 30 Juni 2025 Perkiraan Masa Penawaran Umum : 2 Juli 2025 - 8 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Penjatahan : 8 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Distribusi Saham : 9 Juli 2025 Perkiraan Tanggal Pencatatan Saham di BEI : 10 Juli 2025 --------------------------------------------- STRUKTUR PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Sebanyak-banyaknya 815.000.000 (delapan ratus lima belas juta) Saham Biasa Atas Nama atau mewakili sebanyak-banyaknya 20,04% (dua puluh koma nol empat persen) dari modal ditempatkan dan disetor penuh Perseroan setelah Penawaran Umum Perdana Saham Nilai Nominal : Rp20 per lembar saham Harga Penawaran : Rp120 - Rp140 per lembar saham Jumlah Penawaran Umum : Sebanyak-banyaknya Rp114.100.000.000 Penjamin Emisi : PT Lotus Andalan Sekuritas --------------------------------------------- Laporan dalam format PDF dapat diunduh pada menu "Research - IPO Summary" di www.phintracosekuritas.com dan telegram @phintasofficial By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On - Contact Us : WA : 08119560188 IG : phintracosekuritasofficial YT : Phintraco Sekuritas Official TELE : phintasofficial www.phintracosekuritas.com www.profits.co.id

TBIG posted a resilient 1Q25 performance despite relatively flat revenue. TBIG booked revenue of IDR 1.73 trillion (-0.5% QoQ, +1.6% YoY), broadly in line with our estimate, the consensus, and the 5-year historical average (Phintas: 25.35%; Consensus: 24.6%; 5-year avg: 24.2%). The tower segment remained the main contributor (>91% of total revenue) but experienced a slight contraction of -0.9% QoQ to IDR 1.58 trillion. Conversely, the fiber segment delivered solid growth (+3.7% QoQ; +10.3% YoY) to IDR 151 billion, reflecting sustained demand for fiber amid weak tower leasing momentum. While top-line growth was limited, cost efficiency helped operational performance exceed expectations. EBITDA edged up to IDR 1.11 trillion (+1.1% QoQ, +1.2% YoY), beating our forecast (Phintas: 26.77%) and broadly in line with consensus and the 5-year average (Consensus: 25.1%; 5-year avg: 24.2%). The improvement was primarily driven by a combination of a -4.1% QoQ decrease in cost of revenue and a substantial -13.9% QoQ decline in operating expenses, resulting in EBITDA margin expansion to 85.6% in 1Q25 (vs 84.2% in 4Q24). Cost and tax efficiency further supported bottom-line growth. TBIG booked net profit of IDR 413 billion (+112.8% QoQ; +98.5% YoY), in line with our estimate, consensus, and the 5-year average (Phintas: 25.05%; Consensus: 26.3%; 5-year avg: 20.7%). The improvement was driven by a -5.1% QoQ reduction in interest expenses and a significant -24.9% QoQ drop in tax expenses, which also boosted net profit margin to 23.9% (vs 12.2% in 4Q24). The balance sheet also strengthened, with DER falling to 2.96x in 1Q25 (vs 3.23x in 4Q24). We maintain our HOLD recommendation on TBIG, consistent with our previous report. Despite notable improvements in operational and bottom-line metrics in 1Q25, the near-term outlook for the tower business remains clouded by demand-side uncertainty. One of the key risks lies in the ongoing consolidation process between EXCL and FREN, which together contribute approximately 31.92% of TBIG’s total revenue. Downside Risks: (1) High interest rates potentially pressuring profitability margins; (2) A meaningful number of decommissioned sites due to EXCL-FREN consolidation. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research – Disclaimer On –

TOWR recorded revenue of Rp3.21 trillion in 1Q25 (-2.38% QoQ; +5.31% YoY), relatively in line with our estimate, consensus, and the 5-year historical average (Phintas: 24.57%; Cons: 24.24%; Avg 5-Years: 23.8%). The sequential decline in revenue was mainly driven by a sharp drop in the connectivity segment, which fell -14.43% QoQ to Rp350 billion, as well as a slight contraction in the tower segment the main contributor which declined -1.56% QoQ. On the other hand, the FTTH segment posted solid growth of +37.11% QoQ and +84.75% YoY, reaching Rp218 billion, reflecting strong momentum in the fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) rollout. On the profitability side, EBITDA came in at Rp2.68 trillion in 1Q25 (-2.76% QoQ; +5.25% YoY), in line with our estimate, consensus, and the 5-year average (Phintas: 24.55%; Cons: 24.19%; Avg 5-Years: 23.8%). The QoQ EBITDA contraction slightly pressured the EBITDA margin to 83.48% in 1Q25 (vs 83.54% in 1Q24). This margin pressure extended down to the bottom line, with net profit declining to Rp803 billion (-9.56% QoQ; +0.66% YoY), and net profit margin narrowing to 25.02% from 26.17% in 1Q24. On the Operationally side, TOWR showed signs of a quarterly slowdown. Total towers increased marginally to 35.51k units (+0.30% QoQ), while total tenants remained flat at 58.04k (+0.02% QoQ), resulting in a slight decline in tenancy ratio to 1.63x (vs 1.64x in 4Q24). On the fiber side, total FTTT fiber length rose slightly by +0.61% QoQ to 218.84k km, while FTTH subscribers grew a solid +7.96% QoQ. Meanwhile, average monthly revenue per tenant dropped -1.46% QoQ to Rp12.3 million, and revenue per fiber ticked up only slightly by +0.19% QoQ to Rp839k, signaling ongoing monetization pressure in early-stage fiber expansion. We maintain our BUY recommendation on TOWR with a target price of Rp650, in line with our previous report. While margin pressure remains a near-term concern, we see TOWR’s competitive edge in the fiber segment as a key long-term growth engine amid softening tower performance during the ongoing industry consolidation. Furthermore, asset monetization both in fiber and towers will be essential to support profitability and sustain future growth. Downside Risks: 1) Elevated interest rates that could pressure profitability; 2) Intensifying competition in the fiber segment which may squeeze margins; and 3) High site deactivations following the EXCL-FREN consolidation. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research – Disclaimer On –

CTRA's net profit grew 27% YoY to IDR669 billion in 3M25. This achievement is in line with revenue growth of 18% YoY to IDR2.7 trillion in 3M25. The revenue growth was driven by growth in the property development segment by 23% YoY and the recurring segment by +1% YoY in 3M25. CTRA posted marketing sales of IDR3.15 trillion in 3M25, which is equivalent to 29% of the FY25F target. This achievement reflects consumer demand and solid performance to achieve the FY25F marketing sales target. Launching the Calamus Cluster at Citra Garden Bintaro is one of the drivers of 3M25 marketing sales. CTRA's geographically diversified product portfolio is a key advantage in the residential segment. We maintain our buy rating for CTRA with the same fair value as in its previous company update: Rp1,320 (+36.79%). By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On - Contact Us : WA : 08119560188 IG : phintracosekuritasofficial YT : Phintraco Sekuritas Official TELE : phintasofficial www.phintracosekuritas.com www.profits.co.id

We expect TAPG booked revenue of IDR 10.5 trillion in FY25F (+9.0% YoY), supported by higher sales volumes of CPO (~680 thousand tons, +6.9% YoY) and PKO (~27 thousand tons, +9.2% YoY). The strong growth was driven by robust domestic demand following the B40 biodiesel mandate, as well as solid PKO demand as a cocoa butter substitute. CPO remains the main revenue contributor (~87%), followed by palm kernel (~9%) and PKO (~4%). In terms of profitability, TAPG is projected to record a net profit of IDR 3.4 trillion (+10.9% YoY), with a solid net profit margin at 32.8%. This strong performance is underpinned by manageable cost of goods sold, stable fertilizer costs (~IDR 802 billion, +2.0% YoY), and controlled external FFB purchases (~17–18% of total processed volume). Meanwhile, lower interest expenses (estimated at IDR 53 billion, –16.6% YoY) further strengthen the company’s capital structure and support profitability. TAPG also maintains strong operational fundamentals, with a blended plantation age profile of 14.2 years and ~82% of planted area in the productive phase (7–20 years old). The nucleus estate yield remains solid at ~23 tons/ha, supporting steady production and healthy margins. Total FFB processed is projected to rise to ~3.96 million tons (+2.7% YoY) in FY25F, with internal supply remaining dominant (~82–83%). On the cash flow side, robust free cash flow (7Y CAGR: 24.7%) enables an aggressive dividend policy, reflected in a sharply higher total dividend of IDR 3.3 trillion in FY24 (DPR: 106.3%). The DPS increased significantly to IDR 167 (yield: ~25%), while the cash balance remains healthy at around IDR 1 trillion by end-2024. This supports future expansion while maintaining attractive shareholder returns. We initiate coverage on TAPG with a BUY recommendation and a target price of IDR 1,300 per share, reflecting FY25F valuations of 7.5x PER and 2.2x PBV, using a DCF approach (WACC: 16.4%; terminal growth: 2%). We like TAPG for its productive plantation profile, solid balance sheet, and strong cash generation, which provide flexibility for measured long-term growth. Key risks include lower-than-expected FFB yield, CPO price volatility, and unfavorable regulatory changes. Overall, TAPG is well-positioned to maintain strong operational performance and deliver sustainable value going forward. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research -Disclaimer On-

MDKA recorded FY24 revenue of US$2.24 billion, representing a 31.2% YoY increase compared to US$1.71 billion in FY23. This growth was primarily driven by the nickel segment, which contributed 82.4% of total revenue through PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk (MBMA), with revenue rising 38.9% YoY to US$1.84 billion (vs. FY23: US$1.33 billion). Operational efficiency at the three RKEF smelters (CSID, BSID, and ZHN) successfully reduced the cash cost of Nickel Pig Iron (NPI) by 6.86% QoQ to US$10,037/ton in 4Q24 (vs. 3Q24: US$10,776/ton). Gold production in 4Q24 reached 35.82 koz, (+17.37% QoQ; +21.41% YoY), in line with an increase in the average selling price (ASP) of 11.06% QoQ to US$2,672/oz (vs. 3Q24: US$2,406/oz). Looking ahead, gold production is projected to continue increasing through the Pani Gold Project, which is targeted to reach peak annual production of 500,000 ounces. Management Guidance for FY25 : the gold segment is projected to produce 100,000–110,000 oz per year with a competitive cash cost of US$1,100–1,200/oz, copper production is targeted at 11,000–13,000 tons, with a significant expected reduction in cash cost to US$1.60/lb. Meanwhile, the nickel segment will maximise margins by producing Nickel Pig Iron (NPI), targeting 80,000–87,000 tons per year with a controlled cash cost below US$11,000/ton. Using a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, with a required rate of return of 9.20% and a terminal growth rate of 1.46%, we estimate MDKA’s fair value to be at Rp2,510 (implying 10.03x/2.66x expected EV/EBITDA and P/BV).

PTPP recorded revenue of IDR3.51 trillion in 1Q25 (–39.6% QoQ; –23.9% YoY), mainly due to a significant contraction in the construction services segment (–35.5% QoQ; –24.3% YoY) and a sharp drop in the EPC segment (–63.8% QoQ; –43.2% YoY). The revenue weakness reflects a larger portion of joint operation projects, which contribute less to recognized income compared to regular contracts. Net profit fell to IDR59 billion (–60.0% QoQ; –37.2% YoY), in line with a decline in operating profit to IDR214 billion. Despite this, contributions from other income and joint ventures helped maintain net profit margin at 1.7%. PTPP currently manages 76 active projects, mostly located in Java (37 projects), Kalimantan (13), and Sumatra (9). New contract realization reached IDR7.39 trillion, falling short of both our estimate (Phintas: 27%) and management’s target (~26%). Notably, funding composition shifted significantly in 4M25, with private sector contribution increasing to 45% (vs 18% in 4M24), SOEs at 38% (vs 24%), and government share declining to 17% (vs 57%). This reflects the rising role of private and SOE projects amid fiscal consolidation. By segment, new contracts were dominated by port (32%), building (30%), and road & bridge (19%) projects, with notable contributions from the NPEA Section 2 (IDR2.3 trillion) and Kataraja Toll Road Phase 2 (IDR1.3 trillion). On the macro front, the government is enhancing focus and project efficiency by restructuring the Ministry of Public Works and Public Housing. Through the 2025 State Budget, several Physical Special Allocation Funds (DAK Fisik) are prioritized—including road and bridge development across 35 provinces, irrigation networks, flood control, and SPAM (drinking water infrastructure) expansion. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Housing was allocated IDR5.3 trillion to support the 3-million-home program aimed at reducing the housing backlog. We initiate coverage on PTPP with a BUY recommendation and a target price of IDR600, based on a DCF valuation (WACC: 7.11%, Terminal Growth: 0.5%). We are optimistic on PTPP’s outlook, driven by strong project pipelines, momentum from industrial downstreaming policy, and the reopening of IKN funding. Additionally, the company’s asset divestment strategy is expected to enhance its balance sheet and support long-term profitability. Downside risks to our view include: 1) project delays from budget cuts or tender postponements, 2) raw material cost volatility, and 3) tightening liquidity that could pressure margins. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Disclaimer On Contact Us: WA: 08119560188 IG: @phintracosekuritasofficial YT: Phintraco Sekuritas Official TELE: @phintasofficial www.phintracosekuritas.com www.profits.co.id

Both plantation names under our coverage delivered solid performance in 1Q25, with AALI posted robust revenue growth of 46.3% YoY, supported by higher sales volumes of CPO and palm kernel and SSMS also reporting a 14.42% YoY increase in net profit to IDR276.90 billion, supported by efficient cost control and young plantation profile. Indonesia's CPO production rebounded in March 2025 to 4.81 million tons (+16.05% MoM), though 1Q25 output was still down –1.82% YoY, reflecting the lagging impact of El Niño. Domestic demand remained firm at 6.05 million tons for 3M25 (+6.0% YoY), backed by strong biodiesel uptake (+8.5% YoY). Exports also rose (+12.4% YoY), supported by stronger refined product volumes and a weaker rupiah. We forecast CPO prices to hover around RM4,100–4,500/ton in 2H25F, driven by tight supply in Malaysia and continued domestic absorption in Indonesia. Demand from India is expected to strengthen amid restocking trends and lower import duties, while CPO’s pricing discount to soybean oil continues to support its global competitiveness. We maintain our Overweight rating on the plantation sector, favoring names with strong production visibility, younger estates, and efficient cost structures. Key downside risks include CPO price volatility and unfavorable policy shifts that may impact margins. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research -Disclaimer On-

Public consumption remained solid in May 2025. Inflation in Indonesia stood at 1.60% YoY in May 2025. Over the past year, the average inflation in Indonesia has been 1.56%, so while inflation in May 2025 decreased compared to April 2025, the inflation in May 2025 is still relatively stable. The government gave various economic stimulus packages in June-July 2025. We assess that the stimulus package given by the government has the potential to maintain public purchasing power. Average raw material prices tend to mix. The average wheat prices decreased by 9.9% YoY to US$549/Bu in 5M25, the average price of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) increased by 4.8% YoY to MYR4,210/ton in 5M25, the average price of cocoa increased by 18.5% YoY to US$9,302/ton in 5M25 and the average price of coffee increased significantly by 83.22% YoY to US$373/lb in 5M25. Corn and Soybean Meal (SBM) prices softened in 5M25. The average domestic corn price decreased by 23.18% YoY to Rp6,274/kg in 5M25. Meanwhile, the average price of SBM decreased by 13.47% YoY to US$301/ton in 5M25. The revenue performance of consumer issuers in our coverage showed a positive trend. In 1Q25, all consumer issuers in our coverage continued this positive revenue performance trend. This condition indicates that the consumer sector still has attractive prospects in the long term. Overweight rating on the Consumer Sector. With the various catalysts above, we give an Overweight rating to the consumer sector. Our top picks in the consumer sector are INDF, with an estimated fair value of IDR 9,000; ICBP, with an estimated fair value of IDR 13,275; and CPIN, with an estimated fair value of IDR 5,400.

BI rate has the potential to be cut by 25 bps - 50 bps in the remainder of 2025. Given Indonesia's relatively solid macroeconomic conditions, where the inflation rate is in line with BI's assumptions (2.5%+-1% or 1.5% -3.5%) in 2025. Residential property sales grew 0.73% YoY or 33.92% QoQ in 1Q25 vs. -15.09% YoY in 4Q24. The growth of small-type houses drove this increase, small-type houses grew 21.75% YoY in 1Q25. Therefore, property issuers whose portfolios mostly consist of small-type houses, such as CTRA, booked more resilient performance. Several stimuli from the Government. The Government will continue Value Added Tax (VAT) incentive program until the end of 2025.Several stimuli from the Government. The Government will continue Value Added Tax (VAT) incentive program until the end of 2025. The majority of property issuers booked marketing sales growth in line with the FY25F target. Mortgage Growth is Still Overshadowed by Worsening Asset Quality. Annually, total KPR grew by 9.13% YoY in 3M25, lower than the 9.67% YoY growth in FY24. While quarterly, total KPR grew by 2.54% QoQ, higher than the 2.0% QoQ in 3M25. With the various catalysts above, as well as the performance of each issuer in the property sector, we make our top picks CTRA with a potential fair value of Rp1,320 > BSDE Bwith a potential fair value of Rp1,185 > PWON with a potential fair value of Rp535. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -

Consumer confidence rose slightly in May 2025, reaching 117.8, primarily due to improved current economic conditions, despite growing concerns about job availability. This period also saw increased consumer spending, particularly on consumption, leading to a decline in savings for lower-middle-income groups. Retail sales, after a dip in May, are projected to rebound in June, driven by the automotive and apparel sectors, as well as the alignment with upcoming holidays and promotions.

Last night (7/7), U.S. President Donald Trump sent a letter to ASEAN leaders announcing the continuation of reciprocal import tariff policies, which will take effect on August 1, 2025. It is expected to cause corrections in ASEAN financial markets, including stock and bond markets. It is also anticipated that ASEAN Central Banks, especially Bank Indonesia, will likely maintain a wait-and-see approach regarding interest rate cuts due to concerns about inflation. Indonesia faces a 32% tariff on all exported products, unchanged from the initial rate before the 90-day tariff policy delay was implemented. Other countries face different rates, such as Malaysia, which has a rate of 25%, up from 24%, although still lower than other ASEAN nations like Laos and Myanmar, both at 40%. It is followed by the top 6 ASEAN countries, Thailand and Cambodia, both at 36%.

Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves increased to US$152.6 billion in June 2025 from US$152.5 billion in May 2025. It was attributed to factors including increased tax and service revenues, as well as government global bond issuance amid Rupiah exchange rate stabilization policies in response to global economic uncertainties. The foreign exchange reserves position at the end of June 2025 was equivalent to 6.4 months of imports or 6.2 months of imports and government external debt payments, well above the international adequacy standard of approximately 3 months of imports.

At the start of Donald Trump’s second presidency, trade wars re-emerged as a key global issue. President Trump's reciprocal tariff policy took effect on February 1, 2025, introducing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% tariff on Chinese imports. The swift in the global trade policies has increased the economic uncertainty. The Fed still sees the potential for two rate cuts this year, although it will continue to monitor the impact of tariffs. The Fed has signaled concerns about slowing economic growth and faster inflation. Geopolitical tensions have escalated in several regions. Commodity prices have become increasingly sensitive to global developments. Commodity price movements have shown divergence, with gold experiencing the highest gains, while coal prices have seen the sharpest declines.Crude prices rise to US$80–US$100/barrel if the Israel-Iran war continues and escalates. Exchange rates are expected to stabilize. After a period of volatility driven by the tariff war, exchange rate movements are projected to become more stable as trade tensions ease and potential monetary policy loosening comes into play. IHSG targeted 7,692 in 2025: Considering the various opportunities and challenges faced in 2025. Sectoral Coverage: Banking, Cement, Construction, CPO, Metals & Mining, Food & Beverage, Poultry, Retailers, Properties & Real estate, Telecommunication, and Tower. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On - Visit our website : www.phintracosekuritas.com www.profits.co.id

PHINTRACO SEKURITAS (AT) -13 November 2024- Indonesia's economy has shown a solid recovery, with GDP growth observed across spending sectors. This reflects resilience and a balanced approach to economic recovery. Household consumption remains a primary driver of economic growth, contributing steadily to domestic demand and encouraging broader sectoral gains. Business conditions have improved, seen in positive consumer confidence and absolute sales indices, creating a supportive environment for local and international investments. Indicators such as decreasing poverty and unemployment rates and improvements in income distribution suggest gradual progress in the quality of life for many Indonesians. The government has set an optimistic economic growth target of 5.20% for 2025, with strong domestic consumption expected to play a central role in achieving this goal. Prabowo-Gibran administration intends to prioritize human resource development, emphasizing educational improvement, vocational training, and digital skills to strengthen workforce readiness. Bank Indonesia is expected to continue with flexible monetary policies, which may include easing measures, to help sustain economic growth amid global uncertainties. IHSG targeted 8698 in 2025: Considering the various opportunities and challenges faced in 2025. Sectoral Coverage: Banking, Cement, Metal & Mining, Food & Beverage, Poultry, Properties & Real estate, Telecommunication, and Tower. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -

The majority of countries started to show an increase in economic growth in 2Q24, after experiencing a slowdown at the beginning of the year. Global monetary policy was less-aggressive than expected in 2024. Several central banks started easing their monetary policy in 3Q24 as the inflation rate flattened. Geopolitical conflicts continue in 2024. The conflict in the Middle East has expanded to involve countries other than Israel and Palestine. Meanwhile, the Russia-Ukraine conflict will continue. Several commodity prices tend to stagnate in 2024 and There is still uncertainty risk from geopolitical conflict. Political conditions in global countries' election years were relatively stable. Economic activity's recovery has the potential to continue in 2025. This is driven by the easing of the monetary policy of several central banks, which could continue in 2025. The exchange rate has the potential to be more stable in 2025. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -