PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk (AADI)

14 Nov 2024
Code : AADI Sector : Energy Sub-Sector : Coal Production --------------------------------------------- PERKIRAAN JADWAL PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Perkiraan Tanggal Efektif : 26 November 2024 Perkiraan Masa Penawaran Umum : 29 November 2024 - 03 Desember 2024 Perkiraan Tanggal Penjatahan : 03 Desember 2024 Perkiraan Tanggal Distribusi Saham : 04 Desember 2024 Perkiraan Tanggal Pencatatan Saham di BEI : 05 Desember 2024 --------------------------------------------- STRUKTUR PENAWARAN UMUM PERDANA SAHAM Sebanyak-banyaknya 778,689,200 saham biasa dengan nilai nominal Rp3,125 setiap saham, yang mewakili sebesar-besarnya 10% dari total modal ditempatkan dan disetor Perseroan setelah Penawaran Umum Perdana Saham yang seluruhnya merupakan Saham Baru dan dikeluarkan dari portepel Perseroan. Nilai Nominal : Rp3,125 per lembar saham Harga Penawaran : Rp4,590 - Rp5,900 per lembar saham Jumlah Penawaran Umum : Sebanyak-banyaknya Rp4,594,266,280,00 Penjamin Emisi : PT Trimegah Sekuritas Indonesia Tbk --------------------------------------------- Laporan dalam format PDF dapat diunduh pada menu "Research - IPO Summary" di www.phintracosekuritas.com dan telegram @phintasofficial By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -
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Sentimen negatif eksternal masih akan membayangi IHSG

14 Nov 2024
Dow ditutup +0.1%, Nasdaq -0.26%, dan S&P 500 +0.02% di Rabu (13/11). Inflasi AS meningkat 20 bps menjadi 2.6% yoy di Oktober, dengan Inflasi inti AS tetap di level sama 3.3% YoY di Oktober dan September. Kekhawatiran akan inflasi yang lebih di tinggi di AS, memicu kekhawatiran pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia termasuk Eropa lebih lambat di 2025. Secara teknikal, IHSG mengalami normal pullback usai menguji MA200, disertai dengan pergerakan indikator MACD yang bergerak sideways. Sehingga,IHSG berpotensi uji support 7250 di Kamis (14/11). Inflasi produsen AS diperkirakan akan mengalami peningkatan ke level 2.20% YoY di Oktober dari 1.80% YoY pada September. Fokus pasar juga akan tertuju pada rilis data GDP 3Q24 2nd Est. Kawasan Eropa, yang diperkirakan akan mengalami peningkatan menjadi 0.90% YoY lebih tinggi dari 2Q24 sebesar 0.60% YoY. Top picks di Kamis (14/11) adalah BBNI, BBRI, ASII, ERAA dan ADRO. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Nurwachidah - Disclaimer On -
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AMRT : Continued Expansion Drives Financial Performance

13 Nov 2024
AMRT recorded revenue of IDR88.21 trillion in 9M24, growing 10.24% YoY. The revenue growth was driven by Food segment revenue, which grew 10.52% YoY to IDR62.37 trillion in 9M24 (vs. IDR56.43 trillion in 9M23), while Non-Food segment revenue grew 9.55% YoY to IDR25.85 trillion in 9M24 (vs. IDR23.59 trillion in 9M23). Better non-operating performance offsets higher operating expenses. AMRT's operating expenses increased by 11.98% YoY to IDR14.45 trillion in 9M24 (vs. IDR12.9 trillion in 9M23). Meanwhile, AMRT's non-operating expenses decreased by 79.61% YoY to IDR16 billion in 9M24 (vs. IDR80 billion in 9M23). This condition caused AMRT's net profit to grow 9.79% YoY to IDR2.48 trillion in 9M24 (vs. IDR2.26 trillion in 9M23). Alfagift as an alternative for consumers to shop online, contributed 6.6% to revenue in 9M24. Online sales generated from Alfagift in 9M24 grew by more than 45% YoY, signaling AMRT's efforts to increase revenue. The store network continues to increase. From January to September 2024, AMRT added 945 stores, consisting of 652 company-owned stores and 293 Franchise stores, bringing the total to 23,255 stores across Indonesia. We assess that these efforts can potentially improve AMRT's future financial performance. Using the Discounted Cash Flow method with a Required Return of 8.94% and Terminal Growth of 7.02%, we estimate AMRT's fair value at IDR3,650 per share (Expected PE at 32.03x and EV/EBITDA at 18.58x in FY24). We give AMRT a Buy rating with a potential upside of 15.89%. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -
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Domestic Economic Research : Economic Stability and Growth Opportunities 2025

13 Nov 2024
PHINTRACO SEKURITAS (AT) -13 November 2024- Indonesia's economy has shown a solid recovery, with GDP growth observed across spending sectors. This reflects resilience and a balanced approach to economic recovery. Household consumption remains a primary driver of economic growth, contributing steadily to domestic demand and encouraging broader sectoral gains. Business conditions have improved, seen in positive consumer confidence and absolute sales indices, creating a supportive environment for local and international investments. Indicators such as decreasing poverty and unemployment rates and improvements in income distribution suggest gradual progress in the quality of life for many Indonesians. The government has set an optimistic economic growth target of 5.20% for 2025, with strong domestic consumption expected to play a central role in achieving this goal. Prabowo-Gibran administration intends to prioritize human resource development, emphasizing educational improvement, vocational training, and digital skills to strengthen workforce readiness. Bank Indonesia is expected to continue with flexible monetary policies, which may include easing measures, to help sustain economic growth amid global uncertainties. IHSG targeted 8698 in 2025: Considering the various opportunities and challenges faced in 2025. Sectoral Coverage: Banking, Cement, Metal & Mining, Food & Beverage, Poultry, Properties & Real estate, Telecommunication, and Tower. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -
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Global Economic Research: Cruising The Election and Gepolitical Waves

13 Nov 2024
The majority of countries started to show an increase in economic growth in 2Q24, after experiencing a slowdown at the beginning of the year. Global monetary policy was less-aggressive than expected in 2024. Several central banks started easing their monetary policy in 3Q24 as the inflation rate flattened. Geopolitical conflicts continue in 2024. The conflict in the Middle East has expanded to involve countries other than Israel and Palestine. Meanwhile, the Russia-Ukraine conflict will continue. Several commodity prices tend to stagnate in 2024 and There is still uncertainty risk from geopolitical conflict. Political conditions in global countries' election years were relatively stable. Economic activity's recovery has the potential to continue in 2025. This is driven by the easing of the monetary policy of several central banks, which could continue in 2025. The exchange rate has the potential to be more stable in 2025. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -
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Pelemahan singnifikan indeks global (12/11) dapat memicu potensi rebound lajutan IHSG (13/11)

13 Nov 2024
Indeks-indeks Wall Street mengalami pullback di Selasa (12/11). Inflasi AS diperkirakan naik 20 bps mom ke 2.6% yoy di Oktober 2024. CME FedWatch Tools masih menunjukan peluang 62.1% pemangkasan lanjutan sukubunga acuan the Fed sebesar 25 bps di FOMC Desember 2024. Harga emas lanjutkan pelemahan seiring dengan penguatan USD Index. Sejalan dengan penguatan USD Index tersebut, nilai tukar Rupiah masih beresiko alami pelemahan lanjutan. Kunjungan Presiden Prabowo ke Tiongkok dan komunikasi via telepon antara Presiden Prabowo dengan Presiden Trump menunjukan peluang bahwa Indonesia masih dapat memanfaatkan hubungan bilateral dengan AS dan Tiongkok. Pendekatan ini yang diyakini dapat meredam dampak negatif trade war diantara kedua negara terhadap kinerja ekspor Indonesia. Tekanan jual di pasar modal Indonesia kemungkinan kembali mereda di perdagangan Rabu (13/11). Top picks (13/11) : MAIN, HRUM, BIRD, SRTG, dan ESSA. By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research Valdy K. - Disclaimer On -
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ANTM: Advances Amid Challenges: Profit from Gold, Efficiency from Capital Structure

12 Nov 2024
ANTM's revenue grew 39.7% YoY to IDR 43.2 trillion in 9M24, driven by gold sales, but profitability dropped as COGS rose sharply, leading to a decline in gross margin, EBIT, and net income. Commodity price fluctuations positively impact ANTM's revenue, particularly for gold and nickel, with gold prices rising 26.3% YTD to IDR1,539,000 per gram and nickel prices improving to USD15,706 per ton, contributing to a 39.7% YoY revenue growth in 9M24 ANTM reduced its debt-to-equity ratio from 28.2% in 2021 to 5.4% in Q3 2024, while also cutting interest expenses, reflecting a more efficient and conservative debt management strategy. ANTM’s revenue is projected to reach IDR51.8 trillion in FY24, driven by strong gold and nickel demand, with nickel benefiting from increased use in electric vehicle batteries, while concerns over a U.S. recession from a slowing labor market and high debt-to-GDP may push investors toward gold, boosting ANTM’s performance. Using the Discounted Cash Flow method, we estimate ANTM’s fair value at IDR 1,750 (14.12x expected P/E for FY24F). Considering ANTM’s fair value, we assign a buy rating with a potential upside of approximately 13.3% . By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research - Disclaimer On -
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