CPIN : Expansion Plan Potentially Maintain CPIN’s Performance in FY25

26 Mar 2025 Valdy

CPIN booked revenue growth of 9.51% YoY to IDR67.48 trillion in FY24. The revenue growth was driven by significant growth in Day Old Chick (DOC) segment sales by 37.39% YoY, Processed Chicken segment by 19.31% YoY, and Broiler segment by 11.3% YoY. We expect CPIN’s DOC, Processed Chicken, and Broiler segments’ sales performance can potentially continue its positive trend in 1Q25 in line with the potential increase in demand during the Ramadhan period and ahead of Eid al-Fitr.

CPIN’s Broiler segment booked an operating profit of IDR2.03 trillion in FY24, the highest since 2019. The segment’s operating profit was driven by a 9.96% QoQ or 10.38% YoY increase in the average price of broilers in 4Q24 to IDR20,174/kg, which resulted in the broiler segment’s sales increased by 9.75% QoQ or 27.52% YoY to IDR9.28 trillion in 4Q24.

CPIN’s net profit increased by 60.11% YoY to IDR3.71 trillion in FY24. In addition to positive revenue performance in FY24, CPIN’s net profit was driven by a decrease in operating expenses by 15.31% QoQ or 4.46% YoY to IDR4.23 trillion in FY24 as a result of a gain on changes in fair value of biological assets as well as other operating income. CPIN’s financial income also increased by 56.58% YoY to IDR44 billion in FY24 from interest earned on current accounts and deposits, mainly on call deposits.

CPIN Business Plan 2025. CPIN plans to build an animal feed factory in South Sulawesi to increase production capacity and expand its marketing network in Eastern Indonesia. We assess that this plan can potentially improve the performance of CPIN’s animal feed segment, which experienced a decline in operating profit by 12.67% YoY to IDR3.98 trillion in FY24.

Using the Discounted Cash Flow method with a Required Return of 7.67% and Terminal Growth of 4%, we estimate CPIN’s fair value at IDR5,400 per share. Therefore, we maintain our Buy rating on CPIN with a lower target and potential upside of 22.73%.