INTP: Driving Margin Growth Toward a Promising 2025

20 Nov 2024 Valdy

INTP achieved revenue of IDR5.20 trillion in 3Q24 (+28.54% QoQ; +4.81% YoY), with cumulative revenue reaching IDR13.32 trillion until 9M24, driven by a 9.4% YoY increase in domestic cement sales volume. Gross profit margin improved to 34.35% in 3Q24 (vs 27.66% in 2Q24), supported by efficiency in energy and labor costs, despite higher finance costs due to the Grobogan Cement acquisition. INTP recorded a net profit of IDR621 billion in 3Q24 (+35.19% QoQ; +2.86% YoY), contributing to a cumulative net profit of IDR1.06 trillion until 9M24, showcasing resilience in a competitive market. Cement demand is expected to grow 1-2.5% in 2025, fueled by government initiatives like the 3 million houses program, the Capital City of the Archipelago (IKN) project, and property sector relaxations, boosting INTP’s utilization ratio to 60%. Bulk cement continues to dominate, supported by national strategic projects (PSN) and rising demand from commercial developments such as warehouses, smelters, and housing in new growth areas, while bagged cement faces weaker demand due to low purchasing power. We give rating BUY for INTP with a target price of IDR8,100 (+18.80% upside), implying FY24F/FY25F EV/EBITDA of 8.66x/7.92x.

By PHINTRACO SEKURITAS | Research
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